decision science

Decision Advantage Intelligence in International Politics from the Spanish Armada to Cyberwar【電子書籍】 Jennifer E. SimsMulti-Objective Decision Making【電子書籍】 Diederik M. RoijersAlgorithmic Decision Theory 5th International Conference, ADT 2017, Luxembourg, Luxembourg, October 25 27, 2017, Proceedings【電子書籍】Decision Science and Social Risk Management A Comparative Evaluation of Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Other Formal Decision-Aiding Approaches【電子書籍】 M.W MerkhoferThe Counterinsurgency Challenge A Parable of Leadership and Decision Making in Modern Conflict【電子書籍】 Christopher D. KolendaSupported Decision-Making Theory, Research, and Practice to Enhance Self-Determination and Quality of Life【電子書籍】 Karrie A. ShogrenNatural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment Modeling and Decision Support【電子書籍】Microsoft Power Platform Enterprise Architecture Design tailor-made solutions for architects and decision makers to meet complex business requirements【電子書籍】 Robert RybaricDecision-Making in Orthopedic and Regional Anesthesiology A Case-Based Approach【電子書籍】Decision for Disaster【電子書籍】 Grayston L. LynchThe Role of ‘Experts 039 in International and European Decision-Making Processes Advisors, Decision Makers or Irrelevant Actors 【電子書籍】The Systems Thinker Analytical Skills Level Up Your Decision Making, Problem Solving, and Deduction Skills. Notice The Details Others Miss.【電子書籍】 Albert RutherfordDecision Making And Soft Computing - Proceedings Of The 11th International Flins Conference【電子書籍】 Etienne E KerreDecision Theory with a Human Face【電子書籍】 Richard BradleyThe Challenger Launch Decision Risky Technology, Culture, and Deviance at NASA【電子書籍】 Diane VaughanFusion Methodologies in Crisis Management Higher Level Fusion and Decision Making【電子書籍】Criminal Liability of Political Decision-Makers A Comparative Perspective【電子書籍】Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality New Essays【電子書籍】Understanding Pulmonary Pathology Applying Pathological Findings in Therapeutic Decision Making【電子書籍】 Richard L. Kradin, MD, DTM HConstitutional Politics and the Judiciary Decision-making in Central and Eastern Europe【電子書籍】
 

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  • <p><strong>A history of winning intelligence practices from the Spanish Armada to Cyberwar that offers timeless, practical lessons we ignore at our peril.</strong> According to conventional wisdom, strategic surprise and other intelligence failures are both inevitable and ultimately irrelevant because, at least in international politics and war, military muscle matters more than brains. In <em>Decision Advantage</em>, Jennifer E. Sims counters this argument by investigating the history of intelligence through centuries of international conflict, including the 16th Century's Spanish Armada, two US Civil War battles, the hunt for President Lincoln's assassin, and key diplomatic crises before the two World Wars. Sims dives deep into these events to show that the competitive pursuit of intelligence advantage has been a measurable, buildable, and consequential form of power that can help competitors win against otherwise stronger opponents. From these observations, the author d...
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  • <p>Many real-world decision problems have multiple objectives. For example, when choosing a medical treatment plan, we want to maximize the efficacy of the treatment, but also minimize the side effects. These objectives typically conflict, e.g., we can often increase the efficacy of the treatment, but at the cost of more severe side effects. In this book, we outline how to deal with multiple objectives in decision-theoretic planning and reinforcement learning algorithms. To illustrate this, we employ the popular problem classes of multi-objective Markov decision processes (MOMDPs) and multi-objective coordination graphs (MO-CoGs).</p> <p>First, we discuss different use cases for multi-objective decision making, and why they often necessitate explicitly multi-objective algorithms. We advocate a utility-based approach to multi-objective decision making, i.e., that what constitutes an optimal solution to a multi-objective decision problem should be derived from the available info...
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  • <p>This book constitutes the conference proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Algorithmic Decision Theory , ADT 2017, held in Luxembourg, in October 2017.</p> <p>The 22 full papers presented together with 6 short papers, 4 keynote abstracts, and 6 Doctoral Consortium papers, were carefully selected from 45 submissions.</p> <p>The papers are organized in topical sections on preferences and multi-criteria decision aiding; decision making and voting; game theory and decision theory; and allocation and matching.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。
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  • <p>Economists, decision analysts, management scientists, and others have long argued that government should take a more scientific approach to decision making. Pointing to various theories for prescribing and rational izing choices, they have maintained that social goals could be achieved more effectively and at lower costs if government decisions were routinely subjected to analysis. Now, government policy makers are putting decision science to the test. Recent government actions encourage and in some cases require government decisions to be evaluated using formally defined principles 01' rationality. Will decision science pass tbis test? The answer depends on whether analysts can quickly and successfully translate their theories into practical approaches and whether these approaches promote the solution of the complex, highly uncertain, and politically sensitive problems that are of greatest concern to government decision makers. The future of decision science, perhaps even the ...
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  • <p>A journey through the mind of a commander as he learns and adapts in a complex, deadly environment.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。
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  • <p>The United Nations Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (CRPD) recognized that people with disabilities should have the right to exercise their legal capacity and identified 'supported decision-making' as a means by which people with disabilities can be directly involved in decisions that impact their lives. Offering an overview of its emergence in the disability field and highlighting emerging research, theory, and practice from legal, psychology, education, and health fields, this volume provides a much-needed theoretical and evidence base for supported decision-making. Evidence and strengths-based frameworks for understanding disability, supports, and their roles in promoting supported decision-making are synthesized. The authors describe the application of a social-ecological approach to supported decision-making, and focus on implications for building systems of supports based on current environmental demands. This volume introduces and explains empirical ...
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  • <p>Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists from across the full breath of the natural hazard scientific community, from those in real-time analysis of natural hazards to those in the research community from academia and government. Key themes and highlights include:</p> <ul> <li>Substantial breadth and depth of analysis in terms of the types of natural hazards addressed, the disciplinary perspectives represented, and the number of studies included...
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  • <p>This book enables you to design tailor-made enterprise solutions using the latest models, methodologies, and patterns for your projects. It harnesses the capabilities of the Power Platform, Azure, and Dynamics 365 to create robust solutions. In this new edition, you can work with the latest technologies such as Dataverse and Power Portals to take your solutions to the next level. Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in PDF format. Expert insights "This book provides a solid understanding of how Microsoft 365 and Power Platform work together and offers detailed information on the architecture. It blends a theoretical approach with real-world scenarios to bring the theories to life and demonstrates how architecture operates in practice." ーMary Angiela Cerbolles, Dual Microsoft MVP, productivity analyst "What I really like about this book is that it is well structured and easy to follow, using practical examples to illustrate key concepts throughout. I highl...
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  • <p>In light of evolving techniques and strategies for increasingly complex orthopedic procedures, this accessible guide to patient management outlines the considerations involved in selecting the most suitable anesthetic for both common and complex clinical scenarios. Chapters cover a multitude of clinical presentations and procedures, ranging from orthopedic trauma to total joint replacement, outpatient hand procedures and regional anesthetic placement in patients with pre-existing conditions. Each chapter discusses and evaluates multiple approaches, accompanied by a review of the current literature. Abundant case scenarios of patients undergoing orthopedic surgical or regional anesthesia provide a handy framework for specialists and consultants, as well as an invaluable guide for trainees in anesthesia, regional anesthesia and emergency medicine.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら を...
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  • Grayston Lynch presents an exceptional portrayal of actual events that led to the betrayal of extraordinary, patriotic, and courageous men. Lynch's unmasking of "Kennedy's Camelot" reveals heart-wrenching facts that continue to stir emotions among Brigade 2506 veterans.画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。
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  • <p>Experts are increasingly relied on in decision-making processes at international and European levels. Their involvement in those processes, however, is contested. This timely book on the role of 'experts' provides a broad-gauged analysis of the issues raised by their involvement in decision-making processes. The chapters explore three main recurring themes: the rationales for involving experts and ensuing legitimacy problems; the individual and collective dimensions of expert involvement in decision making; and experts and politics and the politics of expertise. With contributions from leading scholars and practitioners, they theorize the experts' involvement in general and address their role in the policy areas of environment, trade, human rights, migration, financial regulation, and agencification in the European Union.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※こ...
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  • <p>Enhance your <strong>logic, reason, judgment, and wisdom.</strong> Increase your ability to <strong>create concise and reasoned arguments</strong> using data and evidence, to get a genuine conclusion.</p> <p><em>The Systems Thinker ? Analytical Skills</em> aims to raise the level of your mental performance by focusing on the fundamentals of how to use your mind effectively. This book will show you how to:</p> <p>?Increase your ability to analyze problems and to comprehend what you read, hear, experience in a logical manner.</p> <p>?<strong>Examine the logical structure of good and bad reasoning.</strong></p> <p>?Look at what type of evidence are decisions commonly based on.</p> <p>?<strong>Detect common fallacies and rhetorical and psychological factors that can influence your thinking.</strong></p> <p>The book presents the methods that good problem solvers use in understanding complex ideas. It provides practice in applying these met...
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  • <p>FLINS, originally an acronym for Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science, is now extended to Computational Intelligence for applied research. The contributions to the 11th of FLINS conference cover state-of-the-art research, development, and technology for computational intelligence systems, both from the foundations and the applications points-of-view.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。
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  • <p>When making decisions, people naturally face uncertainty about the potential consequences of their actions due in part to limits in their capacity to represent, evaluate or deliberate. Nonetheless, they aim to make the best decisions possible. In Decision Theory with a Human Face, Richard Bradley develops new theories of agency and rational decision-making, offering guidance on how 'real' agents who are aware of their bounds should represent the uncertainty they face, how they should revise their opinions as a result of experience and how they should make decisions when lacking full awareness of, or precise opinions on relevant contingencies. He engages with the strengths and flaws of Bayesian reasoning, and presents clear and comprehensive explorations of key issues in decision theory, from belief and desire to semantics and learning. His book draws on philosophy, economics, decision science and psychology, and will appeal to readers in all of these disciplines.</p>画面が切...
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  • <p><strong>“An in-depth account of the events and personal actions which led to a great tragedy in the history of America’s space program.” ーJames D. Smith, former Solid Rocket Booster Chief, NASA, Marshall Space Flight Center</strong></p> <p>When the Space Shuttle Challenger exploded on January 28, 1986, millions of Americans became bound together in a single, historic moment. Many still vividly remember exactly where they were and what they were doing when they heard about the tragedy. Diane Vaughan recreates the steps leading up to that fateful decision, contradicting conventional interpretations to prove that what occurred at NASA was not skullduggery or misconduct but a disastrous mistake.</p> <p>Why did NASA managers, who not only had all the information prior to the launch but also were warned against it, decide to proceed? In retelling how the decision unfolded through the eyes of the managers and the engineers, Vaughan uncovers an incremental descent into poo...
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  • <p>The book emphasizes a contemporary view on the role of higher level fusion in designing crisis management systems, and provide the formal foundations, architecture and implementation strategies required for building dynamic current and future situational pictures, challenges of, and the state of the art computational approaches to designing such processes. This book integrates recent advances in decision theory with those in fusion methodology to define an end-to-end framework for decision support in crisis management. The text discusses modern fusion and decision support methods for dealing with heterogeneous and often unreliable, low fidelity, contradictory, and redundant data and information, as well as rare, unknown, unconventional or even unimaginable critical situations. Also the book examines the role of context in situation management, cognitive aspects of decision making and situation management, approaches to domain representation, visualization, as well as the role a...
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  • <p>This book is dedicated to a fundamental conflict in modern states: those persons holding public office are no more than ordinary citizens. Therefore, their activities must ? as a matter of principle ? be subject to full judicial control. But at the same time, democratically legitimated politicians need some discretion in their decision-making.</p> <p>Allegations of politicians committing criminal offences in office quickly attract a great deal of media attention. Even politicians themselves frequently use such allegations to discredit their political opponents. However, to date this topic has not been fully addressed on an academic level. This book is a first step in this direction.</p> <p>The individual contributions cover topics such as:</p> <ul> <li> <p>“bad” political decisions that result in a waste of taxpayers’ money</p> </li> <li> <p>corruption and conflicts of interest in political decision-making</p> </li> <li> <p>immunities and procedu...
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  • <p>Thinking about self-control takes us to the heart of practical decision-making, human agency, motivation, and rational choice. Psychologists, philosophers, and decision theorists have all brought valuable insights and perspectives on how to model self-control, on different mechanisms for achieving and strengthening self-control, and on how self-control fits into the overall cognitive and affective economy. Yet these different literatures have remained relatively insulated from each other. Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality brings them into dialog by focusing on the theme of rationality. It contains eleven newly written essays by a distinguished group of philosophers, psychologists, and decision theorists, together with a substantial introduction, collectively offering state-of-the-art perspectives on the rationality of self-control and the different mechanisms for achieving it.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお...
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  • <p><em>Understanding Pulmonary Pathology: Applying Pathological Findings in Therapeutic Decision Making</em> provides a much needed reference tool for pathologists, practicing pulmonologists, and pulmonologist researchers. The unique approach to pulmonary pathology combines the multi-perspective views of the author who was trained formally as both a pulmonologist and as a pathologist.</p> <p>The book addresses what is often lost in translation when conveying the experience of pulmonary pathology in practicing pulmonary medicine. This important tool conveys detailed information concerning the anatomic basis of disease to those oriented towards thinking about diseases physiologically, providing the opportunity for optimal diagnosis, treatment of patients, and advancement of research.</p> <ul> <li>Bridges the knowledge gap between the pathologist, practicing pulmonologist, and pulmonologist researcher</li> <li>Contains a one-of-a-kind index that lists pathological t...
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  • <p>Recent confrontations between constitutional courts and parliamentary majorities, for example in Poland and Hungary, have attracted international interest in the relationship between the judiciary and the legislature in Central and Eastern European countries. Several political actors have argued that courts have assumed too much power after the democratic transformation process in 1989/1990. These claims are explicitly or implicitly connected to the charge that courts have constrained the room for manoeuvre of the legislatures too heavily and that they have entered the field of politics. Nevertheless, the question to what extent has this aggregation of power constrained the dominant political actors has never been examined accurately and systematically in the literature. The present volume fills this gap by applying an innovative research methodology to quantify the impact and effect of court’s decisions on legislation and legislators, and measure the strength of judicial decis...
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